IOI Properties 'buy', KKB 'neutral', Daibochi 'reduce', Hap Seng 'hold'
Source: The Star
By MIDF Research
Target Price: RM2.41
THE prospects for IOI Properties’ (IOIP) property development in Singapore seems to be improving, as private-home prices in the city state increased in the third quarter (Q3) of 2017.
In addition, the group’s joint venture with Hongkong Land International Holdings Ltd for the development of the Central Boulevard site in Singapore is expected to improve the balance sheet of IOIP.
Maintaining its earnings forecasts for IOIP for the financial years (FY) ending June 30, 2018, and 2019, MIDF Research retained its “buy” recommendation on the property development company, with an unchanged target price of RM2.41 based on 40% discount to fully-diluted revalued net asset value.
The brokerage said IOIP had a positive start to FY18, with core net income for Q1’FY18 climbing 8% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM195.6mil, underpinned by higher contribution from all business divisions.
Operating profit of the property division grew 21% y-o-y, mainly driven by contribution from local projects.
Similarly, the operating profit of the property investment division climbed 16% y-o-y, buoyed by higher occupancy rates and higher rental. Likewise, operating profit of the leisure and hospitality division surged 161% y-o-y due to contribution from Le Meridian by Starwood in Putrajaya which commenced business operations in August 2016.
On the other hand, Q1’FY18 unbilled sales stood at RM930mil, down from RM1.02bil in Q4’FY17, providing less than one year earnings visibility to property development division. IOIP’s new property sales improved to RM677mil in Q1’FY18 from RM659mil in Q4’FY17. But this represented a decline from RM730mil in Q1’FY17.
Local projects contributed 54% to the new sales, the Singapore project contributed 34% while the remaining 12% came from China.
By PublicInvest Research
Target Price: 95 sen
WITH no catalyst in sight, PublicInvest Research maintained its “neutral” call and target price for KKB Engineering pegged at around 0.9 times to book value, which suggest a fair value of 95 sen.
The brokerage pointed out that the reversal of KKB’s losses for the third quarter (Q3) for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2017, could be due to write-backs from its oil and gas businesses as its manufacturing business was still just breaking even.
Hence, PublicInvest Research said it was keeping its earnings for KKB unchanged for now.
KKB’s Q3’FY17 net profit came in at RM5mil, compared with a net loss of RM100,000 a year ago and RM7.2mil sequentially.
According to PublicInvest Research, KKB’s nine-month net loss of RM3.7mil is within its expectations.
KKB’s total tender book is estimated at RM322mil, mainly from oil & gas and engineering & manufacturing.
The group’s current outstanding orderbook is estimated at RM1.1bil, mainly from the Pan Borneo project, with works progressive until the fourth quarter of 2020.
Separately, KKB’s net cash is now estimated at RM95mil.
During the quarter in review, KKB’s revenue rose 78.3% y-o-y to RM49.3mil, mainly from the engineering division which contributed about 92% of total revenue, with the remaining from its manufacturing division.
The revenue increase was attributed to higher billings from the group’s civil construction though offset by weaker revenue from its steel pipes manufacturing business.
Year-to-date, KKB’s pre-tax loss narrowed to RM3.9mil from RM9.1mil a year ago, thanks to improved margin of the steel fabrication business mainly from the subcontract works for the fabrication of wellhead platforms for the Bunga Pakma project and also better performance of its associate company due to the variation works for the fabrication of wellhead platforms.
DAIBOCHI PLASTIC AND PACKAGING INDUSTRY BHD
By CIMB Investment Bank Research
Target Price: RM1.88
AS the stock valuation of Daibochi remains expensive, CIMB Research maintained its “reduce” call on the packaging company. However, the brokerage has increased its target price for Daibochi to RM1.88 from RM1.48 previously, as it rolls forward to valuation to financial year (FY) ending Dec 31, 2017.
CIMB Research said its new target price for Daibochi was still based on 15.6 times price-earnings ratio, which represented a 20% premium over the sector average in view of Daibochi’s Myanmar joint-venture’s (JV) attractive long-term growth prospects. The brokerage said it maintained its earnings forecasts for Daibochi unchanged.
CIMB Research said it remained long-term positive on Daibochi’s move to Myanmar, noting the company had the first-mover advantage in the country.
“Myanmar currently does not have many multinational companies (MNCs) but we believe it would only be a matter of time before more MNCs set up operations in Myanmar. Daibochi has been working with major MNCs in the region and as such, we believe the Daibochi JV has a strong chance of getting the MNC business in Myanmar,” CIMB Research said.
Daibochi’s 60%-owned Myanmar JV started operations in Q3’FY17 and the JV recorded RM6.5mil revenue and RM1.95mil pre-tax profit, accounting for 19% of the group’s total pre-tax profit, during the quarter.
Notably, Daibochi’s Myanmar pre-tax profit margin was 29%, compared to only 9% for its Malaysia operations. The higher margin allowed the company to do the lower-margin business in Malaysia, which Daibochi did not want to do in the past.
The company revised its dividend policy to exclude Myanmar JV earnings – it will now pay at least 60% of its net profit excluding Myanmar JV operations.
CIMB Research pointed out that Daibochi’s nine-month net profit, which represented 64% of the total estimate for FY17, remained in line with consensus and the brokerage’s expectations.
By Affin Hwang Capital Research
Target Price: RM2.58
CITING Hap Seng’s weaker-than-expected results, Affin Hwang cut its target price for the company to RM2.58 from RM2.74 previously on lower earnings forecasts for the plantation company for the financial year (FY) ending Dec 31, 2017.
The brokerage maintained its “hold” recommendation on Hap Seng for its expected above-plantation-sector average dividend yield of 4.3%.
Affin Hwang has cut its earnings forecasts for Hap Seng for FY2017-2019 by 6%-7%, mainly to account for lower fresh fruit bunch (FFB) and crude palm oil (CPO) production estimates.
As such, the target price for Hap Seng is lowered based on an unchanged 15 times the estimated earnings for FY18.
Sequentially, Hap Seng’s Q3’FY17 revenue declined by 14.9% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) to RM113.6mil, mainly attributable to lower CPO and palm kernel (PK) sales volume and lower CPO average selling prices.
The group’s CPO and PK sales volume declined by 14.4% and 4.2% qoq, respectively, to 33,376 tonnes and 8,331 tonnes.
After excluding for one-off items, Hap Seng’s core net profit declined by 10.8% qoq to RM25.7mil.
On a cumulative basis, Hap Seng’s 9M17 revenue increased by 4.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM391.2mil, while pre-tax profit increased 10.9% y-o-y to RM119.5mil. The increase in revenue was largely underpinned by higher average selling prices for CPO and PK, but partially offset by lower FFB production.
For the period in review, Hap Seng’s Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) margin in 9M17 improved to 35.6% from 34% in 9M16, attributable to the higher CPO and PK prices.
After excluding one-off items, Hap Seng’s 9M17 core net profit was up by 10.7% yoy to RM88.1mil, accounting for about 64% of Affin Hwang’s previous 2017 forecast and 63% of the street’s 2017 forecasts. The variance was mainly due to lower-than-expected FFB and CPO production.